Creating Economic Mobility Through Public Transit

For families facing impossible choices between a doctor’s visit and a job interview, transportation costs can be a breaking point. Discover how King County, WA, and University of Notre Dame researchers used rigorous evidence to test a solution: free transit. The results reveal transformative impacts on community well-being, charting a new course for equitable mobility.

Featured Speakers:

  • David Phillips, Research Professor of Economics, LEO
  • Matthew Freedman, University of California at Irvine
  • Truong Hoang, State of Washington Department of Social and Health Services
  • Maria Jimenez-Zepeda, King County Metro

Partner with LEO

The Evidence Matters series is sponsored on ThinkND by the Wilson Sheehan Lab for Economic Opportunities (LEO). Poverty is stubborn and requires the utmost collaboration of thought and action to drive change. People of goodwill must bring their unique strengths and positions together to solve this problem. At LEO, we believe knowledge has to be combined with action. But poverty can’t be solved by just one person, or even one sector. That’s why we bring together innovative social service provider partners, top-tier academics, philanthropists, policymakers, and others to tackle poverty.

Change is possible. And with your action, we can get one step closer to reducing poverty in our country, together. 

Your job is to act. What will you do?

For more information, please visit LEO’s website.

Introduction: The Power of Partnership and Evidence
In King County, Washington, a powerful partnership between public leaders and University of Notre Dame researchers is transforming how government solves problems, using rigorous evidence to tackle poverty and advance racial equity. The collaboration between the county and the Lab for Economic Opportunities (LEO) was formed to bring data to the forefront of policymaking. By joining the on-the-ground expertise of public servants with the analytical rigor of academic researchers, they have built a model for generating knowledge that leads to better, more equitable outcomes. This recap explores the mobility challenges facing low-income communities, the design of an innovative study on free public transit, and the profound findings that are reshaping public policy in the Puget Sound region and beyond.
The Context: Mobility Barriers in an Expensive Region
For low-income individuals in the Puget Sound region, the high cost of living creates immense pressure, and transportation costs often become a breaking point. As described by Trong Hang of Washington State’s Department of Social and Health Services (DSHS), rising gas prices force families to make impossible choices: attending a medical appointment or a job interview; buying groceries or visiting an elderly parent. This mobility barrier impacts every aspect of daily life. Hang notes that mobility is fundamentally interconnected with what he calls the “four pillars of basic needs”: shelter, food, health, and employment. Compounding this, Maria Gimenez Zapeda of King County Metro adds that for those with very low or no income, even a reduced fare can be unaffordable, leading many to forgo travel out of fear of negative interactions with drivers if they cannot pay. In response to these profound challenges, King County Metro began to architect a solution built not on assumptions, but on a commitment to income-based equity.
The Solution: An Income-Based Approach to Transit
To address this challenge, King County Metro developed income-based fare programs, becoming one of the first large transit agencies in the U.S. to do so at scale. The primary programs include Orca LIFT, which offers a reduced fare for individuals with household incomes at or below 200% of the federal poverty level—a figure representing less than $50,000 a year for a family of three—and the Subsidized Annual Pass, which provides no-cost transit for those with even lower incomes. These programs were built on a clear “theory of change”: by removing the cost barrier to transit, Metro could improve mobility, which would in turn increase access to jobs, housing, and essential services, ultimately leading to greater long-term health and well-being. To test this hypothesis with scientific rigor, Metro and its partners designed a groundbreaking research study.
The Study: Isolating the Impact of Free Transit
To understand the specific contribution of free transit, researchers designed a randomized controlled trial (RCT). As explained by LEO research professor David Phillips, an RCT is a powerful method for answering the “what if” question. It creates two groups of people who are, on average, identical in every way except for one key difference—the program being studied. This allows researchers to isolate the true impact of the program from all the other complex factors in people’s lives. In this study, 1,797 low-income individuals recruited at DSHS community service offices agreed to participate. Through a lottery-style process, one group received the standard reduced-fare Orca LIFT card, while the other group received a special pass for four months of fully subsidized, or free, transit. This design created a unique opportunity to measure precisely how moving from a reduced fare to a zero fare changes lives.
The Findings: Quantifying the Transformation
The results of the study, synthesized by Professor Matt Friedman, were remarkable and demonstrated a clear, positive impact. The data revealed that providing fully subsidized transit passes to low-income individuals unlocked significant changes in their mobility and well-being.
• Doubled Transit Use: The group that received free-fare passes doubled their transit ridership compared to the group with reduced-fare cards. This dramatic increase was persistent during the duration of the subsidy, was consistent across demographic groups, and occurred primarily during off-peak hours.
• Expanded Life Activities: Follow-up surveys revealed that participants used the free transit for a wide array of essential life activities. Beyond commuting to work, they ran errands, visited family and friends, accessed healthcare, and participated in community events, highlighting that mobility is crucial for full participation in society.
• Improved Well-Being: The study found tangible improvements in participants’ lives. Financial data showed modest but meaningful increases in credit scores, a key indicator of financial security. While administrative data on paid work did not detect large changes, participants self-reported significant improvements in their overall well-being across financial, health, and even employment dimensions, showcasing the value of a multi-pronged research approach.
These findings provided powerful, quantitative evidence validating Metro’s theory of change and are now being used to inform permanent public policy.
Conclusion: From Research to a Human Right
The study’s results have provided a powerful evidence base for King County Metro’s philosophy that “mobility is a human right.” The clear demonstration of impact directly informed the launch of the permanent Subsidized Annual Pass program, institutionalizing an income-based approach that provides no-cost transit to the region’s most vulnerable residents. As Trong Hang noted, this credible evidence is critical for making the case to state legislators that funding for transportation is an essential pillar of self-sufficiency. This partnership proves that when evidence and empathy converge, policy can move beyond transactional services to deliver what a community member in their own words called a fundamental human need: dignity.

The discussion offered critical insights into the power of evidence-based policymaking and the foundational role of mobility in community well-being. Here are the top five takeaways from the conversation.
• Free Fares Double Ridership Among Low-Income Individuals Eliminating the cost barrier entirely, rather than just reducing it, led to a doubling of transit trips. This demonstrates a significant level of unmet need for mobility and shows that even a small fare can be a substantial obstacle for those with the lowest incomes.
• Mobility is Foundational to Overall Well–Being The benefits of free transit extended far beyond commuting. The study linked free transit to modest improvements in financial health (credit scores) and self-reported improvements in health and employment, proving that mobility is a key determinant of overall quality of life.
• Targeted Subsidies Are a Powerful Policy Tool King County’s income-based approach is a strategic choice that balances equity with the financial sustainability needed to deliver high-quality service. It provides critical access to those most in need while allowing fare revenue from other riders to maintain and expand the safe, frequent, and reliable system that benefits everyone.
• Dignity is a Key, Unmeasured Outcome Based on a powerful customer story shared by Maria Gimenez Zapeda, the impact of free transit extends beyond financial savings to include a profound sense of dignity. This comes from removing the fear and judgment associated with being unable to pay a fare—an essential human benefit that administrative data cannot capture.
• Rigorous Partnerships Drive Smarter Policy The collaboration between King County Metro, Washington’s DSHS, and LEO’s academic researchers created credible, actionable evidence. This partnership model demonstrates how to move beyond assumptions to build and validate smarter, more effective public investments that truly transform lives.

  • “I cried just thinking about how many resources I’m spared… but especially it is the dignity of being able to board a bus without fear of being punished or judged because of my economic situation.” — Quoted by Maria Jimenez-Zepeda, Leader in Reduced Fare Programs, King County Metro, from a subsidized pass customer
  • “[Mobility is] not traditionally thought of as one of the like four pillars of basic needs like shelter, food, health, and employment, but really mobility plays into all of that.” — Truong Hoang, Deputy Regional Administrator, Washington State Department of Social and Health Services
  • “King County Metro believes that mobility is a human right and that the ability to pay a fare should not be a barrier to using transit.” — Maria Jimenez-Zepeda, Leader in Reduced Fare Programs, King County Metro
  • “We can show to those policy makers to say transportation is that important and and here’s the evidence that says it’s working.” — Truong Hoang, Deputy Regional Administrator, Washington State Department of Social and Health Services
  • “Doing this type of work well really requires the very different forms of expertise that different people have and you need the whole team to do it.” — David Phillips, Research Professor, Lab for Economic Opportunities at Notre Dame

Health and SocietyLaw and PoliticsPovertyUniversity of Notre DameWilson Sheehan Lab for Economic Opportunities

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