Epidemiology of COVID-19
The topic of this session will be epidemiology in general and the epidemiology of COVID-19. General concepts like R0 and Rt will be explained and how models work, the assumptions behind them, and what they tell us will also be a topic of discussion.
Preview for Week 5
Presented by Heidi Beidinger-Burnett
Heidi Beidinger-Burnett gives a preview of this week’s session.
Epidemiology Tutorial: R0 and Superspreaders
Presented by Jenna Coalson
Twelve-minute video tutorial explaining the concept of R0 (Rnaught) and superspreaders.
Epidemiological Modeling Tutorial
Presented by Alex Perkins
Twelve-minute video that explains what epidemiology models can tell us. Three different epidemiological models are explained.
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Jenna Coalson is an Assistant Professor of the Practice for the Department of Biological Sciences working primarily with the Master of Science in Global Health program. She offers courses in epidemiology and causal inference, specializing in field research methods for international settings. Jenna has an MPH in International Health Epidemiology and an PhD in Epidemiological Sciences from the University of Michigan. Her background in malaria epidemiology involved field and laboratory work with the International Center of Excellence for Malaria Research in Blantyre, Malawi and the Kintampo Health Research Centre in Kintampo, Ghana. She has also performed data management and analyses for research on bed net use in western Kenya and on the relationship between the built environment and mosquito abundance in cities of the Sonoran desert region. Beyond infectious disease studies, her five years of work as an epidemiology consultant gave her broad experience in the conduct of systematic literature reviews for wide-ranging health topics in occupational and chronic disease epidemiology. At Notre Dame, her research focuses on the role of asymptomatic reservoirs and coupled human and natural system interactions in the transmission dynamics of mosquito-borne diseases.
Alex Perkins, Ph.D., is an associate professor in the Department of Biology at Notre Dame. Before arriving at Notre Dame, Perkins received his Ph.D. in population biology from the University of California, Davis and served as a postdoctoral fellow at the NIH Fogarty International Center. His research applies mathematical, computational, and statistical approaches to answer basic and applied research questions about the ecology and epidemiology of infectious diseases. Specifically, his work focuses primarily on mosquito-borne diseases of humans. These diseases pose a risk to billions of people, are the subject of intense development of new interventions, and are highly sensitive to numerous forms of global change. Accordingly, the goal of his lab’s research is to attain a predictive understanding of where and when these diseases occur, what the impact of interventions will be in curtailing their burden, and how the distribution of these diseases and their response to interventions will change over time as a result of changes in their underlying drivers.
- Article: Herd Immunity? Or ‘Mass Murder’?
- The Great Barrington Declaration
- Article: False Promise of Herd Immunity
- Report: Population Point Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Based on a Statewide Random Sample – Indiana, April 25-29, 2020. CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report describing the results from a SARS-CoV-2 surveillance study conducted in Spring 2020.
- Research article by Notre Dame alumna, Meagan Fitzpatrick: Modeling microbial infection to address global health challenges
- Research article by Dr. Alex Perkins: Estimating unobserved SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States
- Research article by Dr. Alex Perkins: Impacts of K-12 school reopening on the COVID-19 epidemic in Indiana, USA
- COVID-19 Forecast Hub